Combined effects of hormone therapy, alcohol consumption and body mass index in relation to postmenopausal breast cancer
METHODS: Two prospective cohorts were pooled including 30,789 women aged 50+ years. Stratified and joint analyses were performed in adjusted additive hazards models. Joint associations between HT/high BMI and HT/alcohol consumption and serum levels of estradiol and testosterone were estimated in a subsample of approximately 1,000 women.
RESULTS: During 392,938 person-years (pyrs) of follow-up, 1,579 developed BC. In HT non-users, overweight vs. normal weight was associated with 54 (95% CI: 6; 102) additional BC cases per 100,000 pyrs. In contrast, the equivalent estimate in current HT users was -121 (95% CI: -216; -26), p for interaction=0.003. In the joint analyses with normal weight HT non-users as the reference category, the risk of BC was higher in HT users across all BMI-strata. A weekly alcohol consumption of >7 drinks vs. abstinence was associated with 72 (95% CI: 12; 131) additional cases per 100,000 pyrs, whereas the equivalent estimate in HT users was 180 (95% CI: 42; 319), p for interaction=0.02. Thus, a markedly higher risk of BC was observed for alcohol combined with HT use compared to abstinent non-users. The effects of HT, high BMI and alcohol consumption were primarily restricted to ER-positive cases. Combined effects of HT/high BMI and HT/alcohol on serum estradiol and testosterone supported the hypothesis of a hormonal pathway linking these exposures to BC.
CONCLUSIONS: These analyses suggest caution when prescribing HT in general, and especially to women consuming alcohol. Results for HT combined with BMI were inconclusive.