Radiation Risk of Mortality of Cancer and Noncancer Diseases in the Atomic-bomb Survivors
METHODS: The Life Span Study (LSS) is a cohort of 120,321 atomic bomb survivors, who have been followed up for mortality since 1950. Individual radiation doses were estimated as weighted absorbed doses (Gy), gamma dose + neutron dose x 10, based on location and shielding at the time of the bombing. Excess relative risk per unit dose (ERR) has been calculated.
RESULTS: A significantly increased risk of radiation for solid cancer mortality was estimated at doses ≥ 0.20 Gy (ERR/Gy=0.42 at age 70 years after exposure at age 30) based on a linear model, which was the best fitting model. The ERR/Gy was 0.17 for all noncancer respiratory diseases (NCRD), 63% of which consisted of pneumonia/influenza. The dose response of NCRD was more concave in the early period of observation and became linear in the late period. In addition, adjustments for indications of cancer and/or cardiovascular disease decreased the risk estimates of all NCRD by 35% from 0.17 to 0.11.
CONCLUSIONS: The long-term risk of radiation for cancers is well established. However, the apparent association between NCRD and radiation exposure may, in part, be attributed to coincident cancer and/or other diseases that were associated with radiation risks. The different shapes of the dose response by observed period suggests different mechanisms of radiation risks.
RRFERENCE: Ozasa K, et al. Studies of the Mortality of Atomic Bomb Survivors, Report 14, 1950-2003. Radiat Res 2012;177:229-43. Pham TM, et al. Radiation exposure and the risk of mortality from noncancer respiratory diseases in the Life Span Study, 1950-2005. Radiat Res 2013;180:539-45.